Prediction Markets

Latest news, analysis and regulatory developments in prediction markets, including platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Coverage includes legal frameworks, compliance issues, and the evolving role of event-based trading within global financial and iGaming ecosystems.

Explore how prediction markets work, their legal status, and how they differ from traditional gambling in our prediction markets guide and prediction markets regulation guide.

South Korea Takes the Polymarket Fight Off the Streets and Into the Committee Room

Key Points South Korea’s Broadcasting, Media and Communications Review Committee has handed Polymarket a window to submit its legal position before regulators decide whether to push forward with a corrective request under gambling legislation. Enforcement attention has moved away from individual South Korean users investigated in June, now aimed squarely at the platform’s design, operating […]

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Michigan Judge Orders Kalshi To Halt Sports Contracts Till July 13

A Michigan judge has temporarily ordered Kalshi to stop offering sports contracts to residents of the state until at least 13 July. Ingham County Circuit Court Judge Rosemarie Aquilina ruled that Kalshi’s sports contracts fall within Michigan’s gambling framework and therefore must comply with the state’s regulations. A key issue in this case is the […]

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Michigan Exits NCPG as the Kalshi Battle Spreads Past the Courts

On 1 July 2026, the Michigan Gaming Control Board pulled its membership from the NCPG, marking the first time a state gaming regulator has walked out over Kalshi’s admission to the organisation. MGCB Executive Director Henry Williams charged that Kalshi misrepresents unlicensed sports betting as investment activity, a move he said strikes at the foundation […]

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ADI Predictstreet to Enter Political Markets After Gibraltar Seal of Approval

Following the FIFA World Cup 2026, Gibraltar has approved ADI Predictstreet to extend its prediction markets into entertainment, culture, weather and selected political events. Germany’s GGL has opened a formal investigation into ADI Predictstreet’s World Cup advertising, and the platform has since blocked access for German users. The Kalshi partnership is widely expected to drive […]

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$3.1 Million Stolen in Polymarket Supply-Chain Attack Amid Growing Scrutiny

Key Points Attackers planted malicious code via a compromised third-party vendor, pulling roughly $3.1 million in PUSD from at least 11 wallets and converting it all to ETH. This marks Polymarket’s second confirmed security breach within two months, with a $700,000 private key compromise having already hit the platform in May. The hack landed in […]

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Kalshi’s To Overtake Flutter and Las Vegas Sands As Most Valuable With $40 Billion Valuation

Kalshi is seeking a valuation of over $40 billion to make it more valuable than every listed gambling company globally, ahead of a potential public listing next year. The New York-based company was valued at $22 billion in early May, making it the largest business in the prediction markets sector.  If it secures fresh investment, […]

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Prediction Markets Undergo Increased Scrutiny From European Regulators Prior To World Cup

Nine European gambling regulators have issued a joint warning on prediction markets regulation ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The statement was released by regulators in Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain and Switzerland.  These authorities said they expect betting activity to rise sharply during the tournament and expressed concerns about […]

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