Prediction Markets

Latest news, analysis and regulatory developments in prediction markets, including platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Coverage includes legal frameworks, compliance issues, and the evolving role of event-based trading within global financial and iGaming ecosystems.

Explore how prediction markets work, their legal status, and how they differ from traditional gambling in our prediction markets guide and prediction markets regulation guide.

FIFA Moves Into Prediction Markets With ADI Predictstreet Deal Before 2026 World Cup

Main Points FIFA signs its first prediction market deal with ADI Predictstreet in a multi-year agreement. The platform will launch before the 2026 World Cup and let fans predict match results and tournament events. Integrity systems, blockchain setup, and approvals support the plan. Fans mostly think engagement upgrades mean better streaming or more data on […]

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Prediction Market Update: CFTC Sues Three States As NFL Pushes To Restrict Manipulative Sports Contracts

CFTC Chair Michael Selig has taken a central role in a growing legal and regulatory battle over prediction markets. The agency has filed lawsuits against Illinois, Arizona and Connecticut, challenging state actions against federally registered platforms. The CFTC argues that event contracts fall under its exclusive authority through the Commodity Exchange Act. Its position is […]

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La Liga Signs Polymarket As Official Prediction Market Partner

La Liga has entered a multi-year agreement with Polymarket, naming the platform its Official and Exclusive Prediction Market Partner in the US and Canada. The collaboration will focus on expanding fan engagement across North America, particularly among younger audiences consuming football through digital and multi-screen platforms. Relevent CEO & Partner, Boris Gartner said: “Soccer’s growth, […]

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Canadian Regulators Approve Limited Rollout Of Prediction Markets

Canadian regulators have approved two firms to offer prediction market products, marking a controlled entry into the sector. Interactive Brokers Canada and Wealthsimple have been authorised by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization to offer trading in event contracts. These contracts will be linked to markets overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which regulates platforms […]

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Prediction Markets Start Driving Global Oil Trading, Raising Trust Concerns

Key Points Traders now lean on prediction market data from Polymarket as signals inside oil trades and algorithm systems with rising urgency. Institutions like Goldman Sachs and Intercontinental Exchange bring this data into research and trading tools with growing reliance. Concerns grow around insider actions, weak liquidity, and risk of manipulation with feedback loops forming […]

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Texas Prioritise Prediction Markets In 2026 Interim Agenda

Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has directed lawmakers to study prediction markets as part of the state’s 2026 interim legislative agenda. He tasked the Senate State Affairs Committee with reviewing what he described as the “sudden inundation” of prediction market gambling. The directive focuses on how these platforms operate and whether they are using federal […]

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Kalshi Set To Introduce Margin Trading Following NFA Approval

Kalshi has taken a key step toward introducing margin trading after its affiliate, Kinetic Markets LLC, received approval to operate as a futures commission merchant. The update appeared on the National Futures Association website on 23 March. This status opens a pathway for Kalshi to offer capital-efficient trading structures, though margin trading is not yet […]

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