Key Points
- One report says 10,651 people were detained up to 16 September, another claims 6,508 arrests up to mid-September. Both of these reports are based on data from the ministry.
- The two figures are 4,143 apart, and neither of them explains how these detentions were counted.
- Despite the number of raids and handovers increasing, no report we’ve seen has named a single person who was behind the scams.
Laos is trying to crack down on cybercrime, but the numbers just don’t add up. On 7 October, Laotian Times reported that police had detained 10,651 suspects from 31 different nationalities by 16 September. Just over a fortnight earlier, on 21 September, MGR Online had reported that there were 6,508 arrests based on the same ministry data, but through mid-September. Both these reports are saying that the ministry is behind this, but neither of them is telling us how all these arrests were counted. Which one should we actually believe, and what exactly doesn’t each of these reports tell us?
What’s Behind the Larger Total?
According to Laotian Times, it was on 6 October that the Minister of Public Security came out and announced the higher figure of 10,651. They also reported 153 ‘cases’ rather than raids, so presumably that means there were 153 separate scams that were uncovered. The reporting period for these figures comes to an end on 16 September, which means the final two weeks of the month aren’t included in the total.
The majority of the suspects were Lao, Chinese, Vietnamese, Thai or Myanmar nationals, though some smaller groups were also caught up, including Russian, Brazilian, Ethiopian, Ugandan and Rwandan nationals. Police also said that the masterminds behind the scams are still operating from outside of Laos, and that slow repatriation procedures are holding up some of the investigations.
Two Figures That Add Up to a Big Discrepancy
MGR Online came in with the lower figure of 6,508 arrests a day after Laotian Times. They broke down the total into 4,482 for the first 6 months of the year, then 1,718 for July and August, and 308 for the very end of August. The difference between the two figures is a staggering 4,143, which is almost as high as the first six months total.
However neither report explains how they were counting the arrests, or whether they used the same system to count them all. It’s possible that a detention, an arrest and then a person being let go again might show up in one report, but not the other. And looking at the breakdown for the first six months of the year, Laotian Times reported 4,486, while MGR Online reported 4,482. To be honest, this article will just stick to the 4,482 figure, which is the one that was mentioned in a speech by then Prime Minister Sonexay Siphandone to the National Assembly on 6 July.
From a Directive in April to Border Handovers
It all started with a directive from Prime Minister Sonexay Siphandone in April that talked about the threat of cybercrime to the country’s finances and its social stability. In early May, police came in and raided seven different sites in Savannakhet, and detained 605 foreign nationals in the process. A few days later, on 13 May, Laos handed over 485 Chinese suspects to the authorities in China at the Boten checkpoint.
On 15 July, a ministry notice went out to hotels, landlords, and casino operators, warning them not to let their properties be used for scams or gambling operations. These operators will be in serious trouble if they get caught, facing fines, having their assets seized, and even being prosecuted.
Police were at it again on 8 August, this time raiding the Thatluang Lake economic zone and rounding up 261 Chinese and Vietnamese nationals. The authorities continued to hand over suspects in large groups from then on.
Face-Faking, Ghost Accounts and Stashed Satellites
The offenders now reportedly use artificial intelligence technology to create synthetic faces and voices for the creation of fake identities. Fraudulent loan applications collect the personal data of the victims, while “ghost accounts” move the stolen money. Human trafficking and illegal drug trade have also been associated with some of the fraud schemes, according to police investigations.
Recruitment is a less obvious aspect of the fraud activities. Among the 106 Thai repatriates from the May arrest operation in Bolikhamxay, some stated that they responded to the job offers on Facebook offering to pay about 35,000 baht per month. Others admitted to having been recruited by friends or acquaintances. The Thai government planned to check all 106 Thai returnees since the difference between the victims of the trafficking and willing employees would determine the charges to press.
Why Corruption Complicates the Count?
Apart from the numbers, another challenge arises in terms of enforcement. Laos was rated at 34 out of 100 in Transparency International’s corruption index (ranking 109th out of 182 countries). “The alleged corruption of Lao officials and their willingness to tolerate and condone criminal activities conducted in their jurisdiction are the reasons for the continued operation of such facilities,” says Adisorn Semyaem of Chulalongkorn University.
The administrative autonomy of the special economic zones has also been cited by the researchers as the reason for the raids’ difficulty. The scam operations are reportedly relocating from Bokeo to Vientiane after a 2024 shutdown order.
Expert Analysis: Is the Bigger Number the Better News?
We may disagree with most of the experts here – the bigger number produces a weaker news headline. The count of 10,651 suspects shows how many people were working inside Laos prior to the raids. The number counts the scale of the problem, but does not prove its reduction.
What is more important is to question whether these numbers reflect the actual arrests made. Almost all of the suspects are foreign nationals, and the usual outcome is a handover: 485 Chinese nationals in May and 39 Thais in October. No reports we checked named a convicted organiser.
Another tough question refers to Zhao Wei, the leader of the Golden Triangle special economic zone. Washington imposed sanctions on him back in 2018 and London in 2023, but Vientiane presented him with a medal for his security services in December 2024.
How Would It Be Determined?
It is apparent from the published accounts that there have been significant sweeps conducted in Laos and there have been many suspects repatriated to their native countries. Nevertheless, they do not reveal an established figure for the country as a whole. The authorities would be able to put the figures in perspective if they had a detailed account with a time frame for the arrests and detention of the suspects and cases.